CTM Stocks Book
47.2% annual growth with a 11.3% maximum drawdown
Eight systematic strategies. One risk-balanced portfolio. Backtested, 2019 to present.
CAGR
47.2%
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Total Return
+1837.5%
MAR
4.17
Sortino
3.33
1 Yr Return
+10.8%
3 Yr Return
+156.0%
5 Yr Return
+438.6%
Growth of $100,000
$100,000 → $1,937,471
2019-01 – 2026-09
20192020202120222023202420252026
Drawdown from peak · worst -11.3%
Calendar-year performance
ReturnMax Drawdown
2019+32.0%-5.4%
2020+112.7%-10.7%
2021+42.3%-8.0%
2022+20.8%-5.9%
2023+83.2%-6.5%
2024+53.8%-8.2%
2025+36.1%-5.5%
2026 YTD+4.7%-11.3%
How sizing changes the result
CAGRMax DDMAR
Risk balanced CTM implementation47.2%-11.3%4.17
Equal weight reference only73.7%-16.8%4.38
QQQ buy & hold22.9%-35.1%0.65
SPY buy & hold17.5%-33.7%0.52
The same eight strategies produce a higher absolute return when equally weighted with capital fully deployed. CTM instead sizes by equal risk contribution at a 60% allocation, giving up return to cut drawdown and improve return per unit of downside.
Jan 2019 – 2026-09 · 8 strategies · equal-risk-contribution sizing at a 60% allocation · daily rebalance · equal-weight comparison from fill-aware daily streams · backtested, engine replay validated against TradingView (94–100% trade parity) · costs applied both sides, conservative fills
v5 Stocks Strategies
StocksDaily · Long & Short
MSTRLong & ShortD
NASDAQ:MSTR · Daily Timeframe
CAGR
134.34%
Max DD
17.6%
Win Rate
58.5%
Trades
53
Avg Trade
+19.94%
Avg Win
+36.53%
1 Yr
+107.9%
3 Yr
+2562.4%
5 Yr
+9205.8%
TradingView parity 100% entry · 100% exit
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TSLALong & ShortD
NASDAQ:TSLA · Daily Timeframe
CAGR
108.36%
Max DD
20.3%
Win Rate
46.9%
Trades
81
Avg Trade
+8.53%
Avg Win
+22.17%
1 Yr
+33.5%
3 Yr
+271.5%
5 Yr
+2125.9%
TradingView parity 100% entry · 99% exit
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TQQQLongD
NASDAQ:TQQQ · Daily Timeframe
CAGR
77.21%
Max DD
14.6%
Win Rate
64.6%
Trades
48
Avg Trade
+11.15%
Avg Win
+20.12%
1 Yr
+55.2%
3 Yr
+279.1%
5 Yr
+661.9%
TradingView parity 100% entry · 100% exit
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GBTCLongD
AMEX:GBTC · Daily Timeframe
CAGR
74.58%
Max DD
18.4%
Win Rate
41.1%
Trades
73
Avg Trade
+10.01%
Avg Win
+28.86%
1 Yr
-9.0%
3 Yr
+290.9%
5 Yr
+596.3%
TradingView parity 97% entry · 94% exit
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NVDALong & ShortD
NASDAQ:NVDA · Daily Timeframe
CAGR
57.99%
Max DD
14.4%
Win Rate
41.7%
Trades
48
Avg Trade
+9.01%
Avg Win
+25.19%
1 Yr
-2.5%
3 Yr
+240.0%
5 Yr
+983.0%
TradingView parity 100% entry · 98% exit
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FNGDShortD
AMEX:FNGD · Daily Timeframe
CAGR
50.4%
Max DD
17.4%
Win Rate
24.1%
Trades
58
Avg Trade
+6.7%
Avg Win
+35.16%
1 Yr
+29.5%
3 Yr
+271.8%
5 Yr
+647.7%
TradingView parity 100% entry · 100% exit
Signals computed on FNGD; executed long FNGU. FNGU price history begins 2025 after an ETN symbol change.
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GOOGLongD
NASDAQ:GOOG · Daily Timeframe
CAGR
30.08%
Max DD
14.5%
Win Rate
53.8%
Trades
26
Avg Trade
+9.76%
Avg Win
+21.69%
1 Yr
+101.0%
3 Yr
+200.1%
5 Yr
+413.9%
TradingView parity 100% entry · 100% exit
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AMZNLongD
NASDAQ:AMZN · Daily Timeframe
CAGR
11.14%
Max DD
30.5%
Win Rate
55.3%
Trades
38
Avg Trade
+2.57%
Avg Win
+8.57%
1 Yr
-28.6%
3 Yr
+40.4%
5 Yr
+27.5%
TradingView parity 100% entry · 100% exit
View full report →
Important Disclosure
Past performance and backtested results do not guarantee future returns. All trading involves risk, including the loss of principal. Results shown are based on backtested data from TradingView. Actual trading results may differ due to slippage, fees, liquidity, and market conditions. This is not investment advice. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.